Comments on: Numbers http://www.deeshaa.org/2004/07/26/numbers-6/ Mon, 13 Feb 2012 05:41:09 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Prashant http://www.deeshaa.org/2004/07/26/numbers-6/comment-page-1/#comment-331 Prashant Unknown, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 http://home.blogstreet.com/2004/07/26/168#comment-331 Might your numbers be a little off? 1971: July 16 - The four billionth baby was born. Data also shows that the growth in population over the last 50 years has been more linear than exponential. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:World_population_history.png The rate of growth has also considerably slowed down in the last 10 years. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:World_population_increase_history.png Ofcourse population analysis needs other factors like aging of population, effect of fertility, birth rates, the effect of AIDS/HIV to be a complete analysis. The above no way tries to prove that we are not facing a looming crisis. Just trying to refactor some of the data and include other parameters. Might your numbers be a little off?

1971: July 16 – The four billionth baby was born.

Data also shows that the growth in population over the last 50 years has been more linear than exponential.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:World_population_history.png

The rate of growth has also considerably slowed down in the last 10 years.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:World_population_increase_history.png

Ofcourse population analysis needs other factors like aging of population, effect of fertility, birth rates, the effect of AIDS/HIV to be a complete analysis.

The above no way tries to prove that we are not facing a looming crisis. Just trying to refactor some of the data and include other parameters.

]]> By: mayank http://www.deeshaa.org/2004/07/26/numbers-6/comment-page-1/#comment-332 mayank Unknown, 30 Nov -0001 00:00:00 +0000 http://home.blogstreet.com/2004/07/26/168#comment-332 very true, prashant. The world population seems to be heading more towards a linear plateau region of growth than the exponential graph we all believe in. Particualrly in the western countries there is no real danger of population outgrowing natural resources. In India though the situation is a bit different. But yet, somehow I believe a country's population growth slows down automatically with economic development. I don't have figures as of now to support my conjecture, but I do think that higher birth rates are more associated with poverty than with a particular culture or civilization. As poor people learn the virtues of smaller families, as and when they get literate, as and when they can afford to dwell on future planning because they dont have to worry abt their next meal,lower birth rates show their effect. Also, sex as a cheap source of entertainment also loses its charm, and the willingness to use contraceptives also increases. The issues of birth control and rural upliftment are essentially interwined particularly in a democratic set-up like India( in China its a different story) and there is more a need to take a holistic view of the situation than trying to make sense of one domain in isolation. very true, prashant. The world population seems to be heading more towards a linear plateau region of growth than the exponential graph we all believe in. Particualrly in the western countries there is no real danger of population outgrowing natural resources. In India though the situation is a bit different. But yet, somehow I believe a country’s population growth slows down automatically with economic development. I don’t have figures as of now to support my conjecture, but I do think that higher birth rates are more associated with poverty than with a particular culture or civilization. As poor people learn the virtues of smaller families, as and when they get literate, as and when they can afford to dwell on future planning because they dont have to worry abt their next meal,lower birth rates show their effect. Also, sex as a cheap source of entertainment also loses its charm, and the willingness to use contraceptives also increases. The issues of birth control and rural upliftment are essentially interwined particularly in a democratic set-up like India( in China its a different story) and there is more a need to take a holistic view of the situation than trying to make sense of one domain in isolation.

]]>